Is It All Coming Apart in the Governments Face? Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Tennessee. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Special elections, if any, are excluded. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Which ones are more politically competitive? I think it's the state to watch. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. But registration figures vary greatly by county. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. [41][note 1][42]. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. Continue with Recommended Cookies. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. If . Map of election results. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). How red or blue is your state? The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. Sorry Marc. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Next is Alabama at No. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. Not one! These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Election results provided by the Associated Press. Not one! But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Dec. 10, 2020. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. Idaho. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? In September, just eight states had. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Is Wisconsin a red state? Error! Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. What are red and blue states? Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. There are three classes of Senators; one is up for election every second year. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. We identify swing states as. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region.
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