ron johnson approval rating 538 ron johnson approval rating 538

How Daniel Kelly worked with the GOP to fuel election denialism. Jimmy Carter 1977-81. Democrats have zeroed in on Johnson's seat as they fight to hang onto their razor-thin Senate majority. Accordingly, he leads all senators with a +35 PARS. You must be an Urban Milwaukee member to leave a comment. 36% of Wisconsin voters approved of Johnson's job performance and 51% disapproved in the fourth quarter of 2021. In July, in our last survey, President Biden's approval rating was 33 percent, one of his worst results of the cycle. and his comments about vaccines and the 2020 election as chief examples. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for 1978 Topps Baseball (501-726) Pick from List EX-NM at the best online prices at eBay! Free shipping for many products! And how effective is what they plan to do to whoever the eventual nominee is?. Mandela Barnes in the general election in Wisconsin, NBC News projected. This is up from 80% a year ago, even though 87% of respondents had deployed anti-virus software. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes is seen as the front-runner, but he faces a number of top-tier Democratic rivals, including State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski, Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson and Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry. The fact that Johnsons negatives have spiked among Democrats and liberals may not be a big deal, since these are voters very unlikely to support him anyway. But his rating among anti-Trump voters has steadily worsened, going from minus-24 in 2016 to minus-45 in 2020 to minus-58 this year. and Biden approval rating unchanged. The correlation between senatorial approval rating and partisan lean is 0.44; the correlation between gubernatorial approval rating and partisan lean is -0.11. Previous Morning Consult polling has shown Johnson near the bottom of the pack in terms of base support among Republican senators running for re-election this year. As they have for years, three northeastern, blue-state Republicans lead the way: Govs. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive,Three years after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, remote and hybrid work are as popular as ever. I'm just trying to convey the truth. But Barnes' campaign has largely focused on economic issues, highlighting his middle-class upbringing in Milwaukee and contrasting it with Johnson's status as one of the richest members of the Senate. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. He backed a decision by Oshkosh Defense a large Wisconsin-based manufacturing company and one of his largest campaign funders to locate over 1,000 jobs in Spartanburg, South Carolina, instead of his state. One month ago, Biden had an approval rating of 42.2 percent and a disapproval rating of 52.2 percent, for a net approval rating of -10.0 points. If you are an existing member, sign-in to leave a comment. A trio of red-state Democrats Kentuckys Andy Beshear, Kansass Laura Kelly and Louisianas John Bel Edwards all have PARGs between +31 and +51 as well. Everss PARG is just +1, suggesting perceptions of him are strongly dependent on partisanship. But while Johnson is unpopular, few are ready to declare his chances dead on arrival as he revs up his third Senate campaign in a state Trump lost by just a sliver in 2020. > Less popular senator: Republican Sen. Ron Johnson > Q4 2019 approval rating: 41.0% > Least popular House member: Republican Rep. Bryan Steil, 1st District Kelly won by little under 2.5% in 2020, or about 2 points bigger than Joe Biden's 2020 victory in Arizona. Johnson (Republican Party) ran for re-election to the U.S. Senate to represent Wisconsin.He won in the general election on November 8, 2022.. Johnson was first elected to the Senate in 2010 when he defeated incumbent Sen. Russ . With Biden similarly struggling with independents, Sykes said the stakes have been raised for Democrats to nominate a candidate in their August primary who is acceptable to voters embarrassed by Johnson.. Ronald Harold Johnson (Republican Party) is a member of the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin. Johnsons ratings were minus 7 last August, minus 6 last October, minus 12 in February of this year and minus 10 in April. Wedding-Focused Event Hall Planned for Vliet Street Near Washington Park, Friday Photos: UWMs New Chemistry Building Topped Off, Trump Recount Attorney Reappointed To Wisconsin Judicial Conduct Committee, Transportation: MCTS Buses Could Again Serve Summerfest, But Issues Remain, Housing Authority Has Waitlist Three Times Larger Than Its Affordable Housing Supply, $10.4 Million in Unclaimed Property matched to Rightful Owners, Two senior pedestrians killed attempting to cross Milwaukee streets, Eyes on Milwaukee: Train Car Bar Being Demolished, Transportation: Airport Will Rip Out Two Runways, Murphys Law: Journal Sentinel Circulation a Disaster, Milwaukee Extends Downtown Parking Meters To 9 P.M., Adds Saturdays, Protasiewicz Says She Would Recuse Herself From Cases Involving Democratic Party, Milwaukee World Festival, Inc. A Democratic senator with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARS of +9 (2+7 = 9). The question is whether the results in 2020 will be closer to her net approval rating or Maines light-blue partisanship; splitting the difference yields a race that leans (or tilts) Republican, which is exactly where major election handicappers have it. Raphael Warnock, Mark Kelly, Maggie Hassan and Catherine Cortez Masto all have PARS scores of at least +7, suggesting that they are capable of outperforming the base partisanship of their state. The governors race in Rhode Island could be a sleeper, though, considering Gov. In our average of polls of the generic congressional ballot,6 Republicans currently lead by 2.6 percentage points (45.5 percent to 42.9 percent). Thats why, today, were unveiling a metric of a senators political standing that takes both partisanship and popularity into account. Biden Job Approval on Issues. Baker, Hogan, Beshear and Edwards arent on the ballot this year; Baker and Hogan are retiring, while Kentucky and Louisiana elect their governors in odd years. That gap is significantly bigger than it was from 2013 to 2019. Johnson is widely considered the most vulnerable Republican senator up for re-election this year, but some see a path to victory built on Bidens own unpopularity and traditional midterm dynamics that favor the party outside the White House. Lyndon B. Johnson 1963-69. Over the past year, Johnson has suffered through his longest and deepest period of unpopularity since Marquette began polling about him in early 2013 a stretch of 61 statewide polls. Trump is quite unpopular here. House Republicans want to repeal Biden's Inflation Reduction Act. Youre ridiculous. Since then, President Biden has been sworn in, and with dual wins in Georgia, Democrats went . Adding to the bad news for Johnson is that his approval rating continues to be at an all-time low with just 37% of registered voters saying they approve of him and 46% saying they disapprove. This version of partisan lean, meant to be used for congressional and gubernatorial elections, is calculated as 50 percent the state or districts lean relative to the nation in the most recent presidential election, 25 percent its relative lean in the second-most-recent presidential election and 25 percent a custom state-legislative lean. For instance, New Hampshire is an evenly divided state, but Gov. ", He also has angered Wisconsin workers by refusing to even try to bring home good jobs. Wisconsin Democrats are eager to win back the Senate seat, which has been occupied by Republican Sen. Ron Johnson a top conservative foil and ally to former President Donald Trump since he . All rights reserved. Most Americans are sickened by Joe Biden as much as they are sickened by Donald Trump. That will be essential in a year when, based solely on partisan lean and generic congressional ballot polling, youd expect a Republican to win their home states, all else being equal. Announces Mary Ellen Stanek as Board Chairwoman and adds Dr. Joan Prince and Charles Harvey to Board of Directors, Tiffany Tardy Named New Executive Director of MPS Foundation, DWD Announces Appointments of Jeremy Simon as Assistant Deputy Secretary, Arielle Exner as Legislative Liaison. Nathaniel Rakich is a senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. The world has been led by intensive and extensive waves of darkness from renaissance all the way down to the Covid crisis. Meanwhile, super PACs for both sides of the race are already pouring millions of dollars into Wisconsin, Forbes reported. The Democrats could have run a dead person against Donald Trump in 2020 and the dead person probably would have received more votes than Joe Biden And we would probably be better off today if a dead person had won in 2020, rather than war mongering liar Joe Biden. But Democratic Gov. Republicans will probably say that they want a more progressive candidate like Mandela to run against they said the same thing about Tammy, a liberal LGBTQ woman from Madison with a long congressional record, she said. Senator, Johnson won one of them, getting 45% versus 42% for Lasry. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has already spent money on primary-day attacks ads that accuse Johnson of working in Congress to benefit himself and wealthy donors at the expense of ordinary voters. Senators, behind Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania (36%) and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky (33%), according to an April 2022 report from Morning Consult. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean metric is the average difference between how a state votes and how the country votes overall, with 2016 presidential election results weighted at 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results weighted at 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature weighted at 25 percent. She pointed to tax breaks he supported, that benefited big donors to his campaigns. According to a Morning Consult Political Intelligence survey of all 50 states, just 37% of registered Wisconsin voters approve of Johnson, while 51% disapprove. Johnson's approval ratings have decreased in the last few years, according to polling by the Marquette Law School. For all these reasons, some nonpartisan analysts think Johnson has a better than even chance of getting reelected. Reagan's job approval ratings in the first years of his term were hurt by the bad economy, and the last years of his administration were marred by the negative . Scott and Kelly4 seem to be in the best position, especially Scott: Not only does he have more cross-party appeal than Kelly (+77 PARG), but he is also a Republican running in a good Republican year. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images), Johnsons Standing in Wisconsin Declined Over Bidens First Year in Office. Phil Scott has not yet announced whether he is running, but it is expected that he will, as of May 12, 2022. McConnell manages just a -13 net approval rating despite inhabiting an R+23 state. 'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 (2-7= -5). In the head-to-head matchups for U.S. Barnes was expected to have a tougher primary battle up until his top Democratic opponents dropped out late last month, clearing his path to the nomination, NBC projected. However, the latest Maqrutee poll shows Johnson up 1% after a barrage of attacks ads. Post author: Charles Franklin; Post published: August 17, 2022; Post category: Poll Release . According to the latest Morning Consult poll, which covered the first three months of 2019, Manchin had a +5 net approval rating. Several hugely divisive events have occurred since 2019, however: the GOP effort to decertify the 2020 election; the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol; and the pandemic that began in early 2020. This is ridiculous. yes, Becky. In September, among likely voters, Johnson received 49% and Barnes 48%. But a comparison between then and now also points to the challenges Johnson faces. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass. More: The fight over Ron Johnson's US Senate seat will put Wisconsin back in the national spotlight in 2022. Perhaps the biggest news in the poll is the rise of Michels, who announced his run for governor in late April, too late to be included in the April MU p0ll which last measured the governors race. GOP Love for Johnson Exceeded Only by Democratic Disdain. Fewer people dont know him or are undecided in their views of him. Plus 5 to minus 28 among moderates (the second sharpest decline). Appointment o Appoint ambassadors, public ministers, federal judges: with advice and consent of the Senate o Appoints about 3,500 people, of which 1,125 require Senate approval o Can remove many of these apps at will o Technically appts military personnel o Selection of the right people: very imp o Cabinet: formal body of presidential . At this time last month, voters preferred Republicans by 2.2 points (44.7 percent to 42.5 percent). The question is: What will those suburban swing voters think? Ron Johnson (R)* Bio | Campaign Site. But in fact, he has been quite polarizing. Stacker has compiled data ranking all of them based on their popularity and approval rating. Similarly, if you were to look at state partisanship alone, you might assume that Democratic Sens. And if he is able to maintain a positive net approval rating (its +6 currently), that will be a sign of life for his candidacy. Raphael Warnock of Georgia, Mark Kelly of Arizona and Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada are all rated Toss-ups, while Sen. Maggie Hassan 's race in New Hampshire is . The poll is hardly an outlier. Timmy! Johnson has also felt losses among voters from his own party. That conversation starts with Sen. Doug Jones, who comes in at No. FiveThirtyEights partisan lean is the average margin difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall. Biden's approval rating, right now, is mired at around 42% to 43% on average. Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. This raises the question of whether Johnson in 2022 can replicate his 2016 vote in the WOW counties, or whether he needs to make up any erosion there in increasingly red rural Wisconsin. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan is somewhere in the middle, with a PARG of +6. In that sense, Johnsons political future may depend on maximizing turnout from the partys pro-Trump base while still winning over some anti-Trump Republicans and independents. Among likely voters, Sen. Ron Johnson is supported by 52% and Lt. Gov. John F. Kennedy 1961-63. Joe Zepecki, a Milwaukee-based Democratic communications strategist, said other issues like Russias aggression in Ukraine, the Supreme Courts handling of Roe v. Wade and the uncertain trajectory of the pandemic could also change the climate come November. The remaining 12% said they did not know or had no opinion. Biden Job Approval in All 50 States. Republican Sen. Ron Johnson faces a Wisconsin electorate that is more negative toward him and more polarizedoverhim than ever. Data is a real-time snapshot *Data is delayed at least 15 minutes. Doug Jones (36) Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in the . Each currently enjoys an extraordinary PARG of +75 or higher. Bemis, a major plastics manufacturer, had appointed Howard Curler as its CEO in 1978, and during the first several years of PACUR's existence, Bemis was the business' sole client. We havent seen that kind of recovery yet in this cycle. Mandela Barnes leads Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson among likely voters in the November election, according to the latest poll from the Marquette University Law School. Senators net approval ratings for the first three months of 2019 relative to the partisan leans* of their states. Combining the four surveys that Marquette has done over the past nine months, 35% of registered voters view Johnson favorably and 44% view him unfavorably a net rating of minus 9. More:'He doesn't understand medicine is a science': Ron Johnson escalates 'guerrilla war' against medical establishment, More:Here are the 11 Democrats in Wisconsin's 2022 U.S. Senate race who are seeking to unseat Ron Johnson. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 . Why has the electorate increasingly polarized over Johnson? What is Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate Daniel Kelly's record on abortion? In the United States, presidential job approval ratings were first conducted by George Gallup (estimated to be 1937) to gauge public support for the president of the United States during their term. Mandela Barnes - Feb 1st, 2022 Re-election Bid Just the Latest Lie From Ron Johnson - A . Jared Polis to be vulnerable in a Republican-leaning midterm in D+6 Colorado, but his net approval rating is 16 points higher than that, giving him a nice cushion in case the national environment puts his state in play. Bjork, whos previously worked for Emilys List and President Barack Obamas Wisconsin campaigns, noted that running as a progressive in the state isnt impossible, pointing to the winning path charted by Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) a decade ago. The state is closely divided in its partisan affiliation- 29% say they're Democrats, 31% say they're Republicans, and 39% say they're [] That poll . With Florida currently struggling with one of the highest rates of COVID-19 in the country, slightly more than half of voters (51 percent) disapprove of Governor Ron DeSantis' handling of the response to the coronavirus, while 46 percent approve, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University poll of registered voters in Florida released today. Accordingly, the floor is 40%. But the decline hasnt been even across groups. A Democratic senator with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARS of +9 (2+7 = 9). The gap between how Republicans and Democrats view him was large then, but its even larger now. One reason may be that voters are more polarized in general. Pay no attention to countless testimonies? For this analysis, Franklin and I examined Johnsons popularity with different demographic and political groups: men, women, old, young, liberal, conservative, urban, rural, suburban, etc. Will they go back to the Republican Party because of Biden, or go to the polls and think, Yeah, I dont like Biden, but Ron Johnsons too crazy for Wisconsin?, Andrew Hitt, former chairman of the Republican Party of Wisconsin, called Johnson a master at retail politics whose plain-spoken, calling it as he sees it approach appeals to Wisconsinites when leveraged appropriately. Voters will be measuring him against a Democratic opponent, but we wont know who that will be until after the states August primary. The question is: What will those suburban swing voters think? Nationally, Sen. Joe Manchin is best known as a thorn in liberals side because he has opposed President Bidens agenda on the social safety net, voting rights, abortion and more. Democrats are banking on Johnsons unpopularity to give them an edge in one of the only contests this year where they stand a chance of knocking off a Republican incumbent as they defend a narrow Senate majority. He has been endorsed by well-known political figures including Sens. All Rights Reserved. Historically, the presidential election results in a given state have tracked closely with the Senate outcome there, and the two are only coming into closer alignment (in 2016, for example, the presidential and Senate outcome was the same in every state). The survey released Wednesday found slipping approval ratings for Democratic Gov. Help assure the future of citys fastest growing publication. This is less true for governors, however. According to the latest figures, taken from surveys conducted among 10,496 registered Wisconsin voters between Oct. 1 and Dec. 31, 36 percent of Badger State voters approved of his job performance, 51 percent disapproved and 13 percent had no opinion. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Just ask Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who for years has had the worst PARS score in the country (currently -54). While other states may have difficulty motivating Democrats to turn out, the vitriol that Johnson inspires in Democrats in Wisconsin will help to drive turnout, said Wisconsin Democratic strategist Tanya Bjork. In fact, the only current senator with a lower approval rating is Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, who has infamously blocked hundreds of popular pieces of legislation. @baseballot, 2022 Election (348 posts) At the same time, Johnson has grown that much more unpopular among groups that tilt Democratic, tilt to the left and were already negative toward him. 56% of independent voters in Wisconsin disapproved of Johnsons job performance up 14 percentage points since late 2020. Asked what Johnson is doing to improve his standing, spokeswoman Alexa Henning said his supporters discount mainstream media outlets and see through the lies and distortions of their false attacks. She said the senator had received strong encouragement to forgo his two-term pledge and run for re-election from Wisconsinites who share his grave concerns over the direction Democrats are taking our country.. But what we cant be as confident about is whether its reversible.. That said, they are all in very safe states, so they shouldnt be in any danger. Abstract The modern civilization is the antithesis of religious way of life. In a state where the Democratic president eked out one of his narrowest margins of victory over Trump (. The state has shifted right since Johnson's 3.4% win in 2016, and on paper, he chould be well positioned to win as a Republican running in a midterm with a Democratic president with low approval ratings. After he was elected in 2020 to serve out the remainder of the late John McCain's (R-AZ) term, Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) is seeking a full term this year. ago. R+23. The governor got 48% of the vote to 41% for Michels, 48% versus 40% for Nicholson, and 48% versus 41% for Ramthun. All in all, 39 percent of independent voters now strongly disapprove of Johnson, nearly five times as many as those who strongly approve. In 2014, McConnell also had popularity problems, and Democrats thought they had a top candidate to challenge him in Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes. If the same state had a Republican governor with the same approval rating, his PARS would be -5 (2-7 = -5). Another factor that could affect the vote which bodes well for Republicans is the enthusiasm factor, which typically drives the turnout and can be critical in a swing state like Wisconsin. Johnsons slippage has been minimal among pro-Trump voters and voters who describe themselves as very conservative. It has been very steep among Democrats and liberals. Mandela Barnes in a swing-state face off that could become one of the most competitive races of the midterms. Buy It Now. McConnell beat Grimes 56 percent to 41 percent. Any off-year election is going to be a referendum on Joe Biden, which is why its going to be a really difficult year for Democrats in places like Wisconsin, said former Wisconsin radio host Charlie Sykes, an early proponent of Johnson during his 2010 bid whos, and the Trump-inspired GOP. Besides touting Republican wins on regulatory relief, strengthening the military and tax cuts, Johnson. Voicemail to me on election night 18 yrs. The same Marquette poll showed that among likely voters, Johnson is leading his Democratic . Republican Sen. Ron Johnson will defend his seat against Democratic Lt. Gov. Those include Republican Sens. His race is expected to be very competitive. The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. Many conservatives see Barnes, an outspoken progressive whos called House progressive Squad member IIhan Omar of Minnesota brilliant, as the perfect foil for Johnson to caricature as extreme. He ran behind the other three, with 44% versus 46% for Barnes, 43% versus 45% for Godlewski and 43% versus 44% for Nelson. Both Kelly and Republican State Attorney General Derek Schmidt won their respective nominations with little opposition. RCP Senate Ratings, Map. Johnsons rhetoric on these issues has attracted a great deal of attention and controversy. Kelly, on the other hand, does have a brand distinct from the national Democratic Party, but its an open question whether she can get enough Kansas Republicans who approve of her to take the extra step and vote for her as well. Marquette Law School survey shows a decline in Johnson's popularity over the past few years. Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. The majority of senators have PARS scores in the single digits, indicating that their approval rating is largely determined by the partisanship of their states. In Wisconsin, Sen. Ron Johnson - who aligned with Trump's election challenge publicly while reportedly admitting privately that Biden won - starts the 2022 cycle with one of the weakest approval ratings (61 percent) among GOP voters. Ron Johnson's approval ratings are underwater in a swing state that President Joe Biden won. All rights reserved. Heading into this years campaign, though, Morning Consults quarterly tracking shows Johnsons approval rating severely underwater. The results echo a poll done in mid-May by Public Policy Polling for the Milwaukee nonprofit,Milwaukee Works, which found a virtual dead heat between Michels and Kleefisch. In October, Johnson said that the top 1% of earners already pay "pretty close to a fair share. The American Independent is the No. Republican U.S. Sen Ron Johnson stayed about the same, with a 36% . Since 2019, his net favorability rating in the WOW counties has dropped from an average of plus 41 to plus-8 in the last four Marquette polls combined. Shaded rows denote senators whose seats are up in 2020, excluding those senators who are not seeking reelection. This made him the second-most unpopular senator out of the 100 currently serving, after only McConnell; Kentucky voters disapprove of him by a 60%-33% margin. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., is one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents, with the Cook Political Report rating the Wisconsin race as a toss-up and the race for Pennsylvania's open Senate seat as . Barnes, 35, would become the youngest member of the Senate, as well as Wisconsin's first Black senator, if he wins in November. Compared with Johnsons previous low point in late 2015 and early 2016, the senator has increased his popularity with groups that lean Republican, lean to the right and were already supportive. Similar to a senators PARS score, a governors PARG score can also help us get a better sense of which governors running for reelection in 2022 are best equipped to swim against the partisan tide of their states. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. . In 2016, Johnson easily outperformed Donald Trump on the same ballot in these three counties. Over the nine months previous to this, Johnson has averaged 35% favorable and 44% unfavorable ratings in the MU polls, the lowest since Marquette began polling about him in 2013. After about a three-year hiatus, FiveThirtyEights Popularity Above Replacement Senator and Popularity Above Replacement Governor ratings are back! The Wisconsin Republican remains deeply disliked by his constituents. Barnes, 35 also has the support of independents, with 52% of respondents backing him over Johnson, a sizable leap from 41% in June. There are far fewer voters than in the past who are undecided about Johnson, which could make it harder for him to improve his image over the course of this campaign. Have you been living under a rock? But its worth remembering that Lucy has held this football in front of Democrats before. A Morning Consult poll earlier this year had Johnson's approval rating at 36 percent. Among independents, 56 percent disapprove of Johnsons job performance up 14 points since the third quarter of 2020, before the presidential election while the share with no opinion fell from 28 to 16 percent during the same period. 2023, Urban Milwaukee, Inc. All rights reserved. A FiveThirtyEight report last week suggested Barnes, who has endorsements from progressive Democratic Senators Bernie Sanders (Vt.) and Elizabeth Warren (Mass. In that five-month stretch, he averaged a net rating of minus 8. That earlier dip in Johnsons numbers is significant for several reasons. But Democrats believe that Johnson will suffer due to his strong support of Trump, even though polls show Republicans benefiting in 2022 due to Biden's low approval ratings. The new Marquette Law School poll shows a tight race in the Democratic primary for U.S. The Republican is currently seeking reelection to a third term, breaking a promise to serve no more than two. But he also stood to benefit from a difficult political climate for Democrats, reflected in President Joe Biden's poor approval ratings.